Why Each Round of 16 Team Could or Couldn’t Win the Club World Cup

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FIFA Club World Cup: Embracing the Chaos of Competition

Written by Bill Connelly
June 25, 2025

The FIFA Club World Cup has taken center stage, stirring a mix of excitement and criticism that often surrounds major tournaments. As I dive into the unfolding drama on the field, I can’t help but relish the unpredictability and spectacle of the event, despite the valid critiques.

Venue Size and Crowd Energy

One significant point of criticism focuses on the venues used for matches. Many stadiums are simply too large, turning what could be electric atmospheres into echoing caverns. Good crowds appear sparse when teams fight in front of expansive and half-empty arenas. The situation is exacerbated by dynamic pricing, a modern commercial strategy that aims to optimize revenue but has led to disappointing attendance in several matches.

European Team Fatigue

European teams have entered the tournament with a paradox of fatigue and rust. They’ve enjoyed a brief hiatus after the demanding league seasons, only to confront clubs in midseason form from other parts of the globe. Renowned stars like Ousmane Dembélé of Paris Saint-Germain and Kylian Mbappé of Real Madrid have been notably absent, a conspicuous absence highlighting the challenges faced by the top European clubs.

Geopolitical Undertones

This tournament isn’t devoid of geopolitical narratives either. Incidents involving player interactions with political climates, such as Antonio Rüdiger’s claims of racist abuse and Juventus’s White House visit, surface as complex undercurrents in every sport today. These elements remind fans that the world of football is intertwined with broader societal issues.

The Resilience of South American Teams

Despite these criticisms and challenges, South American teams have emerged as determined competitors. Their resilience has been nothing short of inspiring, earning them a strong following from impassioned fan bases across the United States. Star players, including Manchester City’s Erling Haaland and Inter Miami’s Lionel Messi, struggle against phenomenal performances from the likes of Botafogo and Flamengo.

Thrilling Matchups

We’ve witnessed remarkable moments, like PSG and Chelsea both falling to formidable South American rivals (Botafogo and Flamengo, respectively). Even Inter Miami managed to topple Porto, who had reached the UEFA Champions League knockout stage last year. The excitement intensified during matches featuring Bayern Munich against Boca Juniors, showcasing thrilling lead changes, last-minute goals, and an exhilarating eight-goal spectacle within the final group matches.

As the tournament progresses, a sense of urgency fills the air. With nine of the sixteen knockout spots already claimed, fans are clamoring for more incredible matchups and escapades in the knockout rounds.

Team Overviews: Who’s Got What It Takes?

Bayern Munich

  • Title Odds: +550 (15.4%)
  • Path to Knockouts: Defeated Auckland City (10-0), Boca Juniors (2-1), lost to Benfica (1-0).

Bayern’s relentless attacking game is their lifeblood, crushing opponents with superior shots per possession metrics. Yet, lingering defensive hiccups remain a question mark as they approach the knockout rounds.

Benfica

  • Title Odds: +3300
  • Path to Knockouts: Drew with Boca Juniors (2-2), defeated Auckland City (6-0), beat Bayern (1-0).

Benfica’s steadfast veterans, like Ángel Di María and Nicolás Otamendi, have shown prowess, turning back the clock. However, their inconsistent track record against top contenders raises concerns as they push forward.

Botafogo

  • Title Odds: +3300
  • Path to Knockouts: Defeated Seattle Sounders (2-1), PSG (1-0), lost to Atletico Madrid (0-1).

Their path has been challenging and filled with grit, relying on a staunch defensive strategy. Yet, their underlying metrics reveal potential weaknesses in sustaining this high-stakes approach through multiple rounds.

Chelsea

  • Title Odds: +1200 (7.7%)
  • Path to Knockouts: Defeated LAFC (2-0), lost to Flamengo (1-3), and beat Esperance (3-0).

Chelsea’s depth might provide an edge; their possession game shines through, but they face hurdles with top-performing players needing to regain form.

Flamengo

  • Title Odds: +2200
  • Path to Knockouts: Defeated Esperance (2-0), Chelsea (3-1), and drew LAFC (1-1).

Flamengo’s strategic approach centers on capitalizing on high-quality chances. Their solid defense combined with calculated possession may serve them well.

Inter Miami

  • Title Odds: +5000
  • Path to Knockouts: Drew with Al Ahly (0-0), defeated Porto (2-1), drew Palmeiras (2-2).

Messi’s ability to create moments of brilliance could be Inter Miami’s trump card, though they must confront powerhouse PSG head-on in the next round.

Juventus

  • Title Odds: +1800
  • Path to Knockouts: Defeated Al-Ain (5-0), Wydad Casablanca (4-1).

Juventus displays a defensive tenacity paired with a potent attacking trio. Their hustle has captured attention, but consistent quality against stronger teams remains a test ahead.

Manchester City

  • Title Odds: +450
  • Path to Knockouts: Defeated Wydad Casablanca (2-0), Al-Ain (6-0).

City’s dominant possession game and scoring versatility have made them strong contenders, though uncertainties surrounding defensive stability linger.

Palmeiras

  • Title Odds: +2000
  • Path to Knockouts: Drew Porto (0-0), defeated Al Ahly (2-0), drew Inter Miami (2-2).

Known for wearing down opponents, Palmeiras’ successful strategies hinge on high expectations. But concerns about shot quality could affect their execution in the high stakes ahead.

Paris Saint-Germain

  • Title Odds: +275
  • Path to Knockouts: Defeated Atletico Madrid (4-0), lost to Botafogo (1-0), beat Seattle Sounders (2-0).

PSG’s overwhelming talent keeps them at the forefront, yet wavering focus post-dominant performances could hinder their journey through to the final.

With the knockout rounds primed to deliver intensity, these teams embody a blend of exciting prospects, struggles, and hope for football fans worldwide. The Club World Cup’s allure lies in embracing its chaos, unpredictability, and sheer passion for the game.

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