Is Mexico’s Cartel Violence Threatening the FIFA World Cup?

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Challenges Ahead for the FIFA World Cup in Mexico Amid Rising Violence

As Mexico gears up to co-host this summer’s FIFA World Cup, serious concerns have emerged regarding escalating drug cartel violence that threatens to disrupt the event. Experts, sharing their insights with BBC Sport, have flagged the alarming rise in conflict as a significant risk to both public safety and the smooth operation of the tournament.

Increasing Drug Cartel Violence

The turmoil is largely attributed to the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG), a dominant and feared criminal organization in Mexico. Following the recent military operation that resulted in the death of its notorious leader, Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, commonly known as “El Mencho,” there has been a swift and violent response. The cartel has engaged in fierce shootouts with Mexican military forces, blocked critical roadways, and set vehicles ablaze as part of their retaliation.

A Widespread Security Crisis

Violence erupted in Jalisco, where the situation has escalated to a “code red” security alert. Still, the turmoil has spread far beyond the initial epicenter, affecting at least a dozen other regions. Disturbing videos circulated online depict armed gunmen patrolling city streets and heavy smoke rising from urban areas, painting a vivid picture of the chaos that has ensued.

In just a day, the conflict has taken a heavy toll, with reports indicating the deaths of at least 25 National Guard officers, underscoring the intense volatility currently facing the region.

Key Host Cities in Jeopardy

Guadalajara, the capital of Jalisco and a city with a population exceeding one million, is set to host four matches during the World Cup. In addition to Guadalajara, the tournament will also take place in Mexico City, which has five scheduled games, and Monterrey, where four matches are planned. However, the ongoing violence raises serious questions about the safety of fans and players alike.

The Ripple Effect of Leadership Change

Experts warn that the elimination of a powerful figure like El Mencho could create a vacuum that would trigger further unrest. Javier Eskauriatza, an assistant professor of criminal law at the University of Nottingham, notes that when authorities crack down on cartels, they often face fierce retaliation. The catalyst of El Mencho’s demise could lead to a chaotic struggle among rival factions as they vie for control.

Economic Considerations of the Cartels

Interestingly, Dr. Eskauriatza also emphasizes that despite the violence, cartels have a vested interest in the successful execution of the World Cup. They have a financial stake in ensuring that international visitors—especially tourists from the UK and the US—experience a safe and enjoyable stay. Cartels often invest in legitimate businesses, including hotels and restaurants, which further intertwines them with the local economy.

Dr. Eskauriatza explains, “The cartels pay off politicians and local police forces, but they also are involved in the hospitality sector. It serves their interests to have a peaceful World Cup where tourists can spend their money freely.”

FIFA’s Response to Ongoing Violence

As concerns mount over the security situation, BBC Sport has reached out to FIFA for comments regarding the ongoing violence and its potential impact on the upcoming matches. The organization’s response will be crucial in determining how they plan to address these challenges in the lead-up to what is expected to be a highly anticipated global event.

In the coming months, stakeholders will have to navigate the treacherous landscape shaped by both tradition and turmoil, as Mexico prepares to welcome the world to its shores for one of the biggest sporting events on the planet.

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